Brazil has won all of their last 3 matches and conceded only 1 goal, with Marquinhos leading a more stable defense; Norway, despite scoring many goals, once lost 1-4 to France, posing a higher defensive risk.

Brazil are in red-hot form, with three wins and a draw in their last four, including two 3-0 wins; Norway show attacking flair but are defensively frail against strong sides, losing 1-4 to France. The model predicts a Brazil clean sheet win.