Spain kept clean sheets in last 4 matches, defense solid; Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 in knockout but defense questionable vs strong teams. With attackers like Cancelo, but Spain's Raya in fine form, Spain tipped for narrow win.

Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 in the knockout stage, Spain defeated Austria 3-0 and have conceded 0 goals in last 4 games; both sides have no injuries or suspensions, with Diogo Costa and David Raya's defenses stable, leaning towards a tight low-scoring match.